xgEdge

Saturday, 22/11/2025 at 13:30

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Match report · Premier League

Burnley 0:2 Chelsea

Burnley Home 0.44 xG · 8 shots
Chelsea Away 1.72 xG · 15 shots
02 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 37' Pedro Neto Chelsea · 0.32 xG chance 0–1
  2. 88' Enzo Fernández Chelsea · 0.72 xG chance 0–2

The shots behind it

Burnley Chelsea
Shots
8
15
On target
2
5
Inside the box
6
10
xG per shot
0.05
0.11
Open play xG
0.30
1.54
Set-piece xG
0.09
0.16
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.41 for Burnley and 1.72 for Chelsea.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Chelsea · Enzo Fernández · 88' · Goal · 9 m · 0.72 xG Chelsea · Pedro Neto · 37' · Goal · 5 m · 0.32 xG Chelsea · Malo Gusto · 77' · No goal · 15 m · 0.14 xG Chelsea · João Pedro · 47' · No goal · 18 m · 0.13 xG Burnley · Jaidon Anthony · 12' · No goal · 10 m · 0.10 xG Burnley · Zian Flemming · 69' · No goal · 11 m · 0.09 xG Chelsea · João Pedro · 45' · No goal · 8 m · 0.07 xG Burnley · Armando Broja · 90' · No goal · 12 m · 0.07 xG Chelsea · Marc Cucurella · 36' · No goal · 8 m · 0.06 xG Burnley · Quilindschy Hartman · 11' · No goal · 9 m · 0.04 xG Chelsea · Marc Cucurella · 54' · No goal · 7 m · 0.04 xG Burnley · Loum Tchaouna · 7' · No goal · 15 m · 0.03 xG Chelsea · Pedro Neto · 17' · No goal · 18 m · 0.03 xG Burnley · Loum Tchaouna · 20' · No goal · 25 m · 0.03 xG Chelsea · Trevoh Chalobah · 31' · No goal · 23 m · 0.03 xG Chelsea · Liam Delap · 45' · No goal · 13 m · 0.03 xG Chelsea · Enzo Fernández · 59' · No goal · 15 m · 0.03 xG Chelsea · Pedro Neto · 63' · No goal · 11 m · 0.03 xG Chelsea · Andrey Santos · 75' · No goal · 23 m · 0.03 xG Chelsea · Liam Delap · 9' · No goal · 24 m · 0.02 xG Burnley · Jaidon Anthony · 11' · No goal · 16 m · 0.02 xG Chelsea · Jamie Gittens · 58' · No goal · 17 m · 0.02 xG Burnley · Zian Flemming · 39' · No goal · 25 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

23 shots · 2.09 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Burnley
  • Chelsea
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Burnley

0.70 xG created 2.26 xGA

  • L 0.41 created, 2.03 conceded against Manchester City
  • L 0.40 created, 1.16 conceded against Aston Villa
  • W 0.45 created, 2.63 conceded against Leeds United
  • W 1.43 created, 2.28 conceded against Wolverhampton
  • L 0.42 created, 2.42 conceded against Arsenal
  • L 1.06 created, 3.02 conceded against West Ham United
Chelsea

2.06 xG created 1.36 xGA

  • L 1.81 created, 2.28 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
  • W 1.00 created, 1.95 conceded against Liverpool
  • W 1.67 created, 2.35 conceded against Nottingham Forest
  • L 0.90 created, 1.31 conceded against Sunderland
  • W 3.68 created, 0.10 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
  • W 3.31 created, 0.17 conceded against Wolverhampton

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.