Chelsea 2:2 Bournemouth: xG & match report · Premier League

Tuesday, 30/12/2025 at 20:30

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Chelsea Home 2.31 xG · 17 shots

Bournemouth Away 3.14 xG · 17 shots

22 Bournemouth had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

6' David Brooks Bournemouth · 0.52 xG chance 0–1
15' Cole Palmer (pen.) Chelsea · 0.82 xG chance 1–1
23' Enzo Fernández Chelsea · 0.23 xG chance 2–1
27' Justin Kluivert Bournemouth · 0.79 xG chance 2–2

The shots behind it

Chelsea Bournemouth

Shots: 17; 17
On target: 3; 6
Inside the box: 15; 12
xG per shot: 0.14; 0.18
Open play xG: 1.07; 1.21
Set-piece xG: 0.45; 1.88
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.53 for Chelsea and 3.14 for Bournemouth.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

34 shots · 5.43 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Chelsea
Bournemouth
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Chelsea

1.40 xG created 1.67 xGA

D 0.79 created, 1.26 conceded against Arsenal
L 1.11 created, 2.82 conceded against Leeds United
D 0.92 created, 1.42 conceded against Bournemouth
W 2.20 created, 1.03 conceded against Everton
D 1.22 created, 2.31 conceded against Newcastle United
L 2.14 created, 1.19 conceded against Aston Villa

Bournemouth

1.63 xG created 1.83 xGA

L 1.70 created, 1.28 conceded against Sunderland
L 0.57 created, 1.35 conceded against Everton
D 1.42 created, 0.92 conceded against Chelsea
D 1.94 created, 3.40 conceded against Manchester United
D 1.41 created, 0.38 conceded against Burnley
L 2.72 created, 3.66 conceded against Brentford

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Chelsea: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Bournemouth 0:0 Chelsea 06/12/2025 xG 1.42 – 0.92

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.