Chelsea 2:0 Brentford: xG & match report · Premier League

Saturday, 17/01/2026 at 16:00

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Match report · Premier League

Chelsea Home 1.59 xG · 6 shots

Brentford Away 1.52 xG · 15 shots

20 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

26' João Pedro Chelsea · 0.08 xG chance 1–0
76' Cole Palmer (pen.) Chelsea · 0.82 xG chance 2–0

The shots behind it

Chelsea Brentford

Shots: 6; 15
On target: 2; 5
Inside the box: 4; 10
xG per shot: 0.28; 0.10
Open play xG: 0.84; 0.81
Set-piece xG: 0.00; 0.71
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.81 for Chelsea.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

21 shots · 3.18 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Chelsea
Brentford
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Chelsea

2.02 xG created 1.65 xGA

W 2.20 created, 1.03 conceded against Everton
D 1.22 created, 2.31 conceded against Newcastle United
L 2.14 created, 1.19 conceded against Aston Villa
D 2.31 created, 3.14 conceded against Bournemouth
D 1.85 created, 1.02 conceded against Manchester City
L 2.39 created, 1.20 conceded against Fulham

Brentford

2.08 xG created 1.50 xGA

D 0.72 created, 1.52 conceded against Leeds United
W 1.28 created, 1.27 conceded against Wolverhampton
W 3.66 created, 2.72 conceded against Bournemouth
D 0.92 created, 0.86 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
W 2.66 created, 0.89 conceded against Everton
W 3.24 created, 1.72 conceded against Sunderland

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Chelsea: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Brentford 2:2 Chelsea 13/09/2025 xG 1.43 – 1.25

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.