xgEdge

Tuesday, 10/02/2026 at 20:30

Full time
Match report · Premier League

Chelsea 2:2 Leeds United

Chelsea Home 3.13 xG · 19 shots
Leeds United Away 1.44 xG · 4 shots
22 Chelsea had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

  1. 24' João Pedro Chelsea · 0.16 xG chance 1–0
  2. 58' Cole Palmer (pen.) Chelsea · 0.82 xG chance 2–0
  3. 67' Lukas Nmecha (pen.) Leeds United · 0.82 xG chance 2–1
  4. 73' Noah Okafor Leeds United · 0.59 xG chance 2–2

The shots behind it

Chelsea Leeds United
Shots
19
4
On target
4
2
Inside the box
14
2
xG per shot
0.16
0.36
Open play xG
1.63
0.62
Set-piece xG
0.68
0.01
Penalties
1
1
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.65 for Leeds United.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Chelsea · Cole Palmer · 58' · Goal · 12 m · 0.82 xG Leeds United · Lukas Nmecha · 67' · Goal · 12 m · 0.82 xG Chelsea · Cole Palmer · 90' · No goal · 3 m · 0.75 xG Leeds United · Noah Okafor · 73' · Goal · 8 m · 0.59 xG Chelsea · João Pedro · 88' · No goal · 3 m · 0.22 xG Chelsea · João Pedro · 90' · No goal · 8 m · 0.19 xG Chelsea · Liam Delap · 81' · No goal · 4 m · 0.18 xG Chelsea · João Pedro · 24' · Goal · 9 m · 0.16 xG Chelsea · João Pedro · 90' · No goal · 7 m · 0.15 xG Chelsea · João Pedro · 34' · No goal · 13 m · 0.14 xG Chelsea · João Pedro · 21' · No goal · 12 m · 0.08 xG Chelsea · João Pedro · 61' · No goal · 10 m · 0.08 xG Chelsea · Enzo Fernández · 61' · No goal · 7 m · 0.08 xG Chelsea · Cole Palmer · 54' · No goal · 15 m · 0.06 xG Chelsea · Malo Gusto · 61' · No goal · 15 m · 0.05 xG Chelsea · Cole Palmer · 27' · No goal · 24 m · 0.04 xG Chelsea · Estêvão · 51' · No goal · 19 m · 0.04 xG Chelsea · Cole Palmer · 19' · No goal · 23 m · 0.03 xG Leeds United · Brenden Aaronson · 85' · No goal · 25 m · 0.03 xG Chelsea · Enzo Fernández · 19' · No goal · 24 m · 0.02 xG Chelsea · Enzo Fernández · 23' · No goal · 24 m · 0.02 xG Chelsea · Estêvão · 42' · No goal · 11 m · 0.02 xG Leeds United · James Justin · 12' · No goal · 18 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

23 shots · 4.58 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Chelsea
  • Leeds United
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Chelsea

2.29 xG created 1.31 xGA

  • D 1.85 created, 1.02 conceded against Manchester City
  • L 2.39 created, 1.20 conceded against Fulham
  • W 1.59 created, 1.52 conceded against Brentford
  • W 2.20 created, 1.88 conceded against Crystal Palace
  • W 2.55 created, 1.12 conceded against West Ham United
  • W 3.16 created, 1.09 conceded against Wolverhampton
Leeds United

1.38 xG created 1.47 xGA

  • D 0.90 created, 1.58 conceded against Manchester United
  • L 2.05 created, 2.72 conceded against Newcastle United
  • W 1.43 created, 0.39 conceded against Fulham
  • D 1.23 created, 0.60 conceded against Everton
  • L 0.15 created, 2.39 conceded against Arsenal
  • W 2.50 created, 1.13 conceded against Nottingham Forest

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Chelsea: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.