Leeds United 1:1 Manchester United: xG & match report · Premier League

Sunday, 04/01/2026 at 13:30

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Leeds United Home 0.90 xG · 11 shots

Manchester United Away 1.58 xG · 15 shots

11 Manchester United had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

62' Brenden Aaronson Leeds United · 0.31 xG chance 1–0
65' Matheus Cunha Manchester United · 0.06 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Leeds United Manchester United

Shots: 11; 15
On target: 3; 2
Inside the box: 8; 9
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.11
Open play xG: 0.54; 1.12
Set-piece xG: 0.37; 0.49
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.90 for Leeds United and 1.59 for Manchester United.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

26 shots · 2.52 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Leeds United
Manchester United
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Leeds United

1.90 xG created 1.35 xGA

W 2.82 created, 1.11 conceded against Chelsea
D 1.51 created, 1.91 conceded against Liverpool
D 1.52 created, 0.72 conceded against Brentford
W 2.67 created, 1.56 conceded against Crystal Palace
D 2.17 created, 0.70 conceded against Sunderland
D 0.69 created, 2.08 conceded against Liverpool

Manchester United

2.13 xG created 1.17 xGA

D 1.80 created, 0.79 conceded against West Ham United
W 4.24 created, 0.41 conceded against Wolverhampton
D 3.40 created, 1.94 conceded against Bournemouth
L 1.33 created, 1.54 conceded against Aston Villa
W 1.17 created, 1.18 conceded against Newcastle United
D 0.84 created, 1.16 conceded against Wolverhampton

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.