xgEdge

Saturday, 17/01/2026 at 16:00

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Match report · Premier League

Leeds United 1:0 Fulham

Leeds United Home 1.43 xG · 14 shots
Fulham Away 0.39 xG · 8 shots
10 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 90' Lukas Nmecha Leeds United · 0.15 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Leeds United Fulham
Shots
14
8
On target
5
1
Inside the box
10
5
xG per shot
0.10
0.05
Open play xG
1.16
0.25
Set-piece xG
0.26
0.13
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.43 for Leeds United and 0.38 for Fulham.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Leeds United · Brenden Aaronson · 23' · No goal · 15 m · 0.27 xG Leeds United · Dominic Calvert-Lewin · 58' · No goal · 7 m · 0.20 xG Leeds United · Lukas Nmecha · 90' · No goal · 9 m · 0.17 xG Leeds United · Pascal Struijk · 83' · No goal · 6 m · 0.15 xG Leeds United · Lukas Nmecha · 90' · Goal · 7 m · 0.15 xG Fulham · Saša Lukić · 35' · No goal · 8 m · 0.11 xG Leeds United · James Justin · 68' · No goal · 15 m · 0.11 xG Leeds United · Gabriel Gudmundsson · 63' · No goal · 7 m · 0.08 xG Fulham · Raúl Jiménez · 8' · No goal · 6 m · 0.06 xG Leeds United · Noah Okafor · 15' · No goal · 13 m · 0.06 xG Leeds United · James Justin · 45' · No goal · 7 m · 0.06 xG Fulham · Harry Wilson · 10' · No goal · 24 m · 0.05 xG Fulham · Emile Smith Rowe · 68' · No goal · 31 m · 0.05 xG Leeds United · Lukas Nmecha · 89' · No goal · 5 m · 0.05 xG Fulham · Ryan Sessegnon · 45' · No goal · 16 m · 0.04 xG Leeds United · Dominic Calvert-Lewin · 80' · No goal · 21 m · 0.04 xG Leeds United · Ilia Gruev · 20' · No goal · 22 m · 0.03 xG Fulham · Ryan Sessegnon · 45' · No goal · 15 m · 0.03 xG Fulham · Raúl Jiménez · 69' · No goal · 4 m · 0.03 xG Leeds United · Wilfried Gnonto · 79' · No goal · 22 m · 0.03 xG Leeds United · Noah Okafor · 7' · No goal · 18 m · 0.02 xG Fulham · Harry Wilson · 80' · No goal · 25 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

22 shots · 1.80 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Leeds United
  • Fulham
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Leeds United

1.67 xG created 1.56 xGA

  • D 1.52 created, 0.72 conceded against Brentford
  • W 2.67 created, 1.56 conceded against Crystal Palace
  • D 2.17 created, 0.70 conceded against Sunderland
  • D 0.69 created, 2.08 conceded against Liverpool
  • D 0.90 created, 1.58 conceded against Manchester United
  • L 2.05 created, 2.72 conceded against Newcastle United
Fulham

1.51 xG created 1.61 xGA

  • W 2.23 created, 2.46 conceded against Burnley
  • W 1.50 created, 0.60 conceded against Nottingham Forest
  • W 1.62 created, 0.91 conceded against West Ham United
  • D 1.76 created, 1.93 conceded against Crystal Palace
  • D 0.74 created, 1.37 conceded against Liverpool
  • W 1.20 created, 2.39 conceded against Chelsea

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Leeds United: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.