Fulham 2:2 Liverpool: xG & match report · Premier League

Sunday, 04/01/2026 at 16:15

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Fulham Home 0.74 xG · 8 shots

Liverpool Away 1.37 xG · 10 shots

22 Liverpool had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

17' Harry Wilson Fulham · 0.14 xG chance 1–0
57' Florian Wirtz Liverpool · 0.41 xG chance 1–1
90' Harrison Reed Fulham · 0.03 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.
90' Cody Gakpo Liverpool · 0.35 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.

The shots behind it

Fulham Liverpool

Shots: 8; 10
On target: 2; 2
Inside the box: 5; 7
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.14
Open play xG: 0.48; 1.17
Set-piece xG: 0.24; 0.19
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.72 for Fulham and 1.37 for Liverpool.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

18 shots · 2.08 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Fulham
Liverpool
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Fulham

1.46 xG created 1.62 xGA

L 0.91 created, 2.17 conceded against Manchester City
L 0.76 created, 1.65 conceded against Crystal Palace
W 2.23 created, 2.46 conceded against Burnley
W 1.50 created, 0.60 conceded against Nottingham Forest
W 1.62 created, 0.91 conceded against West Ham United
D 1.76 created, 1.93 conceded against Crystal Palace

Liverpool

1.59 xG created 1.11 xGA

D 1.46 created, 0.42 conceded against Sunderland
D 1.91 created, 1.51 conceded against Leeds United
W 1.89 created, 1.90 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
W 0.66 created, 1.07 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
W 1.54 created, 1.07 conceded against Wolverhampton
D 2.08 created, 0.69 conceded against Leeds United

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.