Burnley 2:3 Fulham: xG & match report · Premier League

Saturday, 13/12/2025 at 18:30

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Burnley Home 2.46 xG · 16 shots

Fulham Away 2.23 xG · 6 shots

23 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

9' Emile Smith Rowe Fulham · 0.66 xG chance 0–1
21' Lesley Ugochukwu Burnley · 0.65 xG chance 1–1
31' Calvin Bassey Fulham · 0.41 xG chance 1–2
58' Harry Wilson Fulham · 0.18 xG chance 1–3
86' Oliver Sonne Burnley · 0.41 xG chance 2–3

The shots behind it

Burnley Fulham

Shots: 16; 6
On target: 8; 4
Inside the box: 10; 6
xG per shot: 0.16; 0.33
Open play xG: 1.70; 0.90
Set-piece xG: 0.81; 1.07
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.49 for Burnley and 1.96 for Fulham.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

22 shots · 4.48 xG

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Burnley
Fulham
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Burnley

0.90 xG created 2.10 xGA

L 0.42 created, 2.42 conceded against Arsenal
L 1.06 created, 3.02 conceded against West Ham United
L 0.44 created, 1.72 conceded against Chelsea
L 0.95 created, 3.06 conceded against Brentford
L 0.95 created, 0.59 conceded against Crystal Palace
L 1.61 created, 1.77 conceded against Newcastle United

Fulham

1.01 xG created 1.09 xGA

W 1.39 created, 0.24 conceded against Wolverhampton
L 0.40 created, 1.44 conceded against Everton
W 2.16 created, 0.17 conceded against Sunderland
W 0.42 created, 0.86 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
L 0.91 created, 2.17 conceded against Manchester City
L 0.76 created, 1.65 conceded against Crystal Palace

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.