Burnley 3:4 Brentford: xG & match report · Premier League

Saturday, 28/02/2026 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Burnley Home 0.97 xG · 13 shots

Brentford Away 1.94 xG · 16 shots

34 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

9' Mikkel Damsgaard Brentford · 0.10 xG chance 0–1
25' Igor Thiago Brentford · 0.27 xG chance 0–2
34' Kevin Schade Brentford · 0.66 xG chance 0–3
45' Michael Kayode (o.g.) Burnley · 0.10 xG chance 1–3
47' Jaidon Anthony Burnley · 0.16 xG chance 2–3
60' Zian Flemming Burnley · 0.24 xG chance 3–3
90' Mikkel Damsgaard Brentford · 0.20 xG chance 3–4

The shots behind it

Burnley Brentford

Shots: 13; 16
On target: 4; 7
Inside the box: 9; 13
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.13
Open play xG: 0.96; 0.86
Set-piece xG: 0.12; 1.18
Penalties: —; —

Burnley's shots add up to 1.08 xG and Brentford's to 2.04; the published figures are 0.97 and 1.94.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

29 shots · 3.12 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Burnley
Brentford
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Burnley

0.75 xG created 1.94 xGA

D 0.40 created, 3.18 conceded against Liverpool
D 1.44 created, 2.30 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
L 0.06 created, 1.47 conceded against Sunderland
L 1.28 created, 1.02 conceded against West Ham United
W 0.53 created, 1.80 conceded against Crystal Palace
D 0.78 created, 1.88 conceded against Chelsea

Brentford

1.47 xG created 1.38 xGA

L 1.52 created, 1.59 conceded against Chelsea
L 1.76 created, 0.76 conceded against Nottingham Forest
W 0.53 created, 1.98 conceded against Aston Villa
W 1.93 created, 2.25 conceded against Newcastle United
D 1.34 created, 0.60 conceded against Arsenal
L 1.74 created, 1.11 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Burnley: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Brentford 3:1 Burnley 29/11/2025 xG 3.06 – 0.95

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.