Brentford 0:2 Nottingham Forest: xG & match report · Premier League

Sunday, 25/01/2026 at 15:00

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Brentford Home 1.76 xG · 10 shots

Nottingham Forest Away 0.76 xG · 7 shots

02 The result went against the chances

Goals

12' Igor Jesus Nottingham Forest · 0.05 xG chance 0–1
80' Taiwo Awoniyi Nottingham Forest · 0.38 xG chance 0–2

The shots behind it

Brentford Nottingham Forest

Shots: 10; 7
On target: 1; 2
Inside the box: 9; 5
xG per shot: 0.18; 0.11
Open play xG: 1.06; 0.73
Set-piece xG: 0.70; 0.01
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.76 for Nottingham Forest.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

17 shots · 2.50 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Brentford
Nottingham Forest
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Brentford

2.21 xG created 1.51 xGA

W 1.28 created, 1.27 conceded against Wolverhampton
W 3.66 created, 2.72 conceded against Bournemouth
D 0.92 created, 0.86 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
W 2.66 created, 0.89 conceded against Everton
W 3.24 created, 1.72 conceded against Sunderland
L 1.52 created, 1.59 conceded against Chelsea

Nottingham Forest

0.89 xG created 1.46 xGA

L 0.60 created, 1.50 conceded against Fulham
L 0.59 created, 1.39 conceded against Manchester City
L 1.55 created, 1.26 conceded against Everton
L 0.89 created, 1.59 conceded against Aston Villa
W 1.38 created, 0.95 conceded against West Ham United
D 0.34 created, 2.10 conceded against Arsenal

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Brentford: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Nottingham Forest 3:1 Brentford 17/08/2025 xG 1.86 – 1.50

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.