xgEdge

Saturday, 07/02/2026 at 18:30

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Match report · Premier League

Newcastle United 2:3 Brentford

Newcastle United Home 2.25 xG · 16 shots
Brentford Away 1.93 xG · 11 shots
23 The result went against the chances

Goals

  1. 24' Sven Botman Newcastle United · 0.21 xG chance 1–0
  2. 37' Vitaly Janelt Brentford · 0.17 xG chance 1–1
  3. 45' Igor Thiago (pen.) Brentford · 0.82 xG chance 1–2
  4. 79' Bruno Guimarães (pen.) Newcastle United · 0.82 xG chance 2–2
  5. 85' Dango Ouattara Brentford · 0.10 xG chance 2–3

The shots behind it

Newcastle United Brentford
Shots
16
11
On target
4
5
Inside the box
10
6
xG per shot
0.14
0.18
Open play xG
0.62
1.06
Set-piece xG
0.84
0.07
Penalties
1
1
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.46 for Newcastle United and 1.14 for Brentford.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Brentford · Igor Thiago · 45' · Goal · 12 m · 0.82 xG Newcastle United · Bruno Guimarães · 79' · Goal · 12 m · 0.82 xG Brentford · Mathias Jensen · 43' · No goal · 10 m · 0.50 xG Newcastle United · Yoane Wissa · 28' · No goal · 4 m · 0.33 xG Newcastle United · Harvey Barnes · 15' · No goal · 7 m · 0.26 xG Newcastle United · Sven Botman · 24' · Goal · 4 m · 0.21 xG Brentford · Vitaly Janelt · 37' · Goal · 7 m · 0.17 xG Newcastle United · Malick Thiaw · 90' · No goal · 8 m · 0.15 xG Brentford · Dango Ouattara · 90' · No goal · 11 m · 0.11 xG Brentford · Mathias Jensen · 62' · No goal · 19 m · 0.10 xG Brentford · Dango Ouattara · 85' · Goal · 13 m · 0.10 xG Newcastle United · Nick Woltemade · 81' · No goal · 15 m · 0.09 xG Newcastle United · Harvey Barnes · 54' · No goal · 8 m · 0.08 xG Newcastle United · Sven Botman · 68' · No goal · 4 m · 0.07 xG Newcastle United · Sandro Tonali · 30' · No goal · 13 m · 0.06 xG Brentford · Keane Lewis-Potter · 41' · No goal · 27 m · 0.05 xG Brentford · Keane Lewis-Potter · 55' · No goal · 13 m · 0.05 xG Newcastle United · Sandro Tonali · 10' · No goal · 21 m · 0.04 xG Newcastle United · Anthony Elanga · 73' · No goal · 21 m · 0.04 xG Newcastle United · Jacob Murphy · 14' · No goal · 14 m · 0.03 xG Newcastle United · Malick Thiaw · 67' · No goal · 20 m · 0.03 xG Newcastle United · Lewis Hall · 89' · No goal · 23 m · 0.03 xG Newcastle United · Harvey Barnes · 3' · No goal · 22 m · 0.02 xG Brentford · Mathias Jensen · 16' · No goal · 23 m · 0.02 xG Brentford · Mathias Jensen · 27' · No goal · 24 m · 0.02 xG Newcastle United · Sandro Tonali · 29' · No goal · 20 m · 0.02 xG Brentford · Romelle Donovan · 89' · No goal · 19 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

27 shots · 4.23 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Newcastle United
  • Brentford
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Newcastle United

1.77 xG created 1.21 xGA

  • W 2.31 created, 1.09 conceded against Burnley
  • W 2.08 created, 0.70 conceded against Crystal Palace
  • W 2.72 created, 2.05 conceded against Leeds United
  • D 0.88 created, 0.29 conceded against Wolverhampton
  • L 2.30 created, 1.16 conceded against Aston Villa
  • L 0.33 created, 1.95 conceded against Liverpool
Brentford

1.77 xG created 1.30 xGA

  • D 0.92 created, 0.86 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
  • W 2.66 created, 0.89 conceded against Everton
  • W 3.24 created, 1.72 conceded against Sunderland
  • L 1.52 created, 1.59 conceded against Chelsea
  • L 1.76 created, 0.76 conceded against Nottingham Forest
  • W 0.53 created, 1.98 conceded against Aston Villa

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Newcastle United: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.