Brighton & Hove Albion 0:1 Arsenal: xG & match report · Premier League

Wednesday, 04/03/2026 at 20:30

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Brighton & Hove Albion Home 0.80 xG · 11 shots

Arsenal Away 0.43 xG · 7 shots

01 The result went against the chances

Goals

9' Bukayo Saka Arsenal · 0.01 xG chance 0–1

The shots behind it

Brighton & Hove Albion Arsenal

Shots: 11; 7
On target: 3; 2
Inside the box: 6; 6
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.07
Open play xG: 0.79; 0.23
Set-piece xG: 0.00; 0.25
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.80 for Brighton & Hove Albion and 0.47 for Arsenal.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

18 shots · 1.27 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Brighton & Hove Albion
Arsenal
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Brighton & Hove Albion

1.09 xG created 1.15 xGA

L 1.50 created, 1.13 conceded against Fulham
D 1.29 created, 1.20 conceded against Everton
L 0.85 created, 1.16 conceded against Crystal Palace
L 0.50 created, 0.72 conceded against Aston Villa
W 1.11 created, 1.74 conceded against Brentford
W 1.31 created, 0.93 conceded against Nottingham Forest

Arsenal

1.52 xG created 0.63 xGA

W 2.39 created, 0.15 conceded against Leeds United
W 1.22 created, 0.17 conceded against Sunderland
D 0.60 created, 1.34 conceded against Brentford
D 1.86 created, 0.29 conceded against Wolverhampton
W 1.93 created, 0.76 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
W 1.13 created, 1.05 conceded against Chelsea

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Brighton & Hove Albion: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Arsenal 2:1 Brighton & Hove Albion 27/12/2025 xG 3.08 – 0.85

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.