xgEdge

Sunday, 08/02/2026 at 15:00

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Match report · Premier League

Brighton & Hove Albion 0:1 Crystal Palace

Brighton & Hove Albion Home 0.85 xG · 7 shots
Crystal Palace Away 1.16 xG · 7 shots
01 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 61' Ismaïla Sarr Crystal Palace · 0.46 xG chance 0–1

The shots behind it

Brighton & Hove Albion Crystal Palace
Shots
7
7
On target
2
4
Inside the box
5
6
xG per shot
0.12
0.16
Open play xG
0.58
0.73
Set-piece xG
0.29
0.40
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.85 for Brighton & Hove Albion and 1.16 for Crystal Palace.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Crystal Palace · Ismaïla Sarr · 61' · Goal · 10 m · 0.46 xG Crystal Palace · Maxence Lacroix · 67' · No goal · 4 m · 0.26 xG Brighton & Hove Albion · Charalampos Kostoulas · 65' · No goal · 14 m · 0.20 xG Crystal Palace · Jørgen Strand Larsen · 90' · No goal · 12 m · 0.20 xG Brighton & Hove Albion · Maxim De Cuyper · 31' · No goal · 11 m · 0.19 xG Brighton & Hove Albion · Lewis Dunk · 19' · No goal · 6 m · 0.18 xG Brighton & Hove Albion · Charalampos Kostoulas · 31' · No goal · 4 m · 0.13 xG Crystal Palace · Jørgen Strand Larsen · 74' · No goal · 7 m · 0.12 xG Brighton & Hove Albion · Lewis Dunk · 5' · No goal · 4 m · 0.11 xG Crystal Palace · Ismaïla Sarr · 43' · No goal · 11 m · 0.04 xG Brighton & Hove Albion · Maxim De Cuyper · 31' · No goal · 27 m · 0.03 xG Brighton & Hove Albion · Georginio Rutter · 38' · No goal · 22 m · 0.03 xG Crystal Palace · Jørgen Strand Larsen · 73' · No goal · 9 m · 0.03 xG Crystal Palace · Adam Wharton · 33' · No goal · 21 m · 0.02 xG

All shots

14 shots · 2.00 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Brighton & Hove Albion
  • Crystal Palace
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Brighton & Hove Albion

1.51 xG created 1.39 xGA

  • D 2.94 created, 2.06 conceded against West Ham United
  • W 1.45 created, 0.30 conceded against Burnley
  • D 0.81 created, 2.35 conceded against Manchester City
  • D 1.05 created, 1.33 conceded against Bournemouth
  • L 1.50 created, 1.13 conceded against Fulham
  • D 1.29 created, 1.20 conceded against Everton
Crystal Palace

1.42 xG created 1.66 xGA

  • D 1.93 created, 1.76 conceded against Fulham
  • L 0.70 created, 2.08 conceded against Newcastle United
  • D 1.50 created, 1.74 conceded against Aston Villa
  • L 0.61 created, 1.71 conceded against Sunderland
  • L 1.88 created, 2.20 conceded against Chelsea
  • D 1.92 created, 0.49 conceded against Nottingham Forest

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Brighton & Hove Albion: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.