xgEdge

Sunday, 01/02/2026 at 15:00

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Match report · Premier League

Nottingham Forest 1:1 Crystal Palace

Nottingham Forest Home 0.49 xG · 9 shots
Crystal Palace Away 1.92 xG · 14 shots
11 Crystal Palace had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

  1. 5' Morgan Gibbs-White Nottingham Forest · 0.12 xG chance 1–0
  2. 45' Ismaïla Sarr (pen.) Crystal Palace · 0.82 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Nottingham Forest Crystal Palace
Shots
9
14
On target
1
3
Inside the box
6
9
xG per shot
0.06
0.14
Open play xG
0.32
0.85
Set-piece xG
0.18
0.25
Penalties
0
1
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.49 for Nottingham Forest.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Crystal Palace · Ismaïla Sarr · 45' · Goal · 12 m · 0.82 xG Crystal Palace · Ismaïla Sarr · 37' · No goal · 7 m · 0.33 xG Crystal Palace · Will Hughes · 3' · No goal · 16 m · 0.22 xG Nottingham Forest · Morgan Gibbs-White · 5' · Goal · 9 m · 0.12 xG Crystal Palace · Brennan Johnson · 62' · No goal · 11 m · 0.10 xG Nottingham Forest · Igor Jesus · 23' · No goal · 9 m · 0.08 xG Crystal Palace · Will Hughes · 49' · No goal · 15 m · 0.08 xG Nottingham Forest · Elliot Anderson · 90' · No goal · 14 m · 0.08 xG Crystal Palace · Jefferson Lerma · 3' · No goal · 20 m · 0.06 xG Crystal Palace · Jefferson Lerma · 45' · No goal · 5 m · 0.06 xG Nottingham Forest · Morgan Gibbs-White · 66' · No goal · 9 m · 0.06 xG Crystal Palace · Maxence Lacroix · 10' · No goal · 9 m · 0.05 xG Crystal Palace · Ismaïla Sarr · 27' · No goal · 22 m · 0.05 xG Nottingham Forest · Ola Aina · 69' · No goal · 4 m · 0.05 xG Crystal Palace · Daniel Muñoz · 13' · No goal · 12 m · 0.04 xG Crystal Palace · Will Hughes · 45' · No goal · 19 m · 0.04 xG Nottingham Forest · Igor Jesus · 56' · No goal · 23 m · 0.04 xG Nottingham Forest · Morgan Gibbs-White · 90' · No goal · 19 m · 0.04 xG Crystal Palace · Brennan Johnson · 45' · No goal · 13 m · 0.03 xG Crystal Palace · Christantus Uche · 71' · No goal · 21 m · 0.02 xG Nottingham Forest · Dan Ndoye · 82' · No goal · 14 m · 0.02 xG Crystal Palace · Will Hughes · 88' · No goal · 29 m · 0.02 xG Nottingham Forest · Ryan Yates · 58' · No goal · 26 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

23 shots · 2.42 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Nottingham Forest
  • Crystal Palace
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Nottingham Forest

0.92 xG created 1.51 xGA

  • L 0.59 created, 1.39 conceded against Manchester City
  • L 1.55 created, 1.26 conceded against Everton
  • L 0.89 created, 1.59 conceded against Aston Villa
  • W 1.38 created, 0.95 conceded against West Ham United
  • D 0.34 created, 2.10 conceded against Arsenal
  • W 0.76 created, 1.76 conceded against Brentford
Crystal Palace

1.35 xG created 1.73 xGA

  • L 1.47 created, 0.88 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
  • D 1.93 created, 1.76 conceded against Fulham
  • L 0.70 created, 2.08 conceded against Newcastle United
  • D 1.50 created, 1.74 conceded against Aston Villa
  • L 0.61 created, 1.71 conceded against Sunderland
  • L 1.88 created, 2.20 conceded against Chelsea

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Nottingham Forest: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.