Fulham 2:1 Brighton & Hove Albion: xG & match report · Premier League

Saturday, 24/01/2026 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Fulham Home 1.13 xG · 12 shots

Brighton & Hove Albion Away 1.50 xG · 13 shots

21 The result went against the chances

Goals

28' Yasin Ayari Brighton & Hove Albion · 0.05 xG chance 0–1
72' Samuel Chukwueze Fulham · 0.21 xG chance 1–1
90' Harry Wilson Fulham · 0.03 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Fulham Brighton & Hove Albion

Shots: 12; 13
On target: 4; 5
Inside the box: 5; 10
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.12
Open play xG: 0.97; 1.33
Set-piece xG: 0.13; 0.25
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.13 for Fulham and 1.55 for Brighton & Hove Albion.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

25 shots · 2.68 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Fulham
Brighton & Hove Albion
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Fulham

1.20 xG created 1.44 xGA

W 1.50 created, 0.60 conceded against Nottingham Forest
W 1.62 created, 0.91 conceded against West Ham United
D 1.76 created, 1.93 conceded against Crystal Palace
D 0.74 created, 1.37 conceded against Liverpool
W 1.20 created, 2.39 conceded against Chelsea
L 0.39 created, 1.43 conceded against Leeds United

Brighton & Hove Albion

1.37 xG created 1.75 xGA

D 1.13 created, 1.38 conceded against Sunderland
L 0.85 created, 3.08 conceded against Arsenal
D 2.94 created, 2.06 conceded against West Ham United
W 1.45 created, 0.30 conceded against Burnley
D 0.81 created, 2.35 conceded against Manchester City
D 1.05 created, 1.33 conceded against Bournemouth

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Fulham: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Brighton & Hove Albion 1:1 Fulham 16/08/2025 xG 1.48 – 0.76

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.