Manchester City 1:1 Brighton & Hove Albion: xG & match report · Premier League

Wednesday, 07/01/2026 at 20:30

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Manchester City Home 2.35 xG · 22 shots

Brighton & Hove Albion Away 0.81 xG · 6 shots

11 Manchester City had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

41' Erling Haaland (pen.) Manchester City · 0.82 xG chance 1–0
60' Kaoru Mitoma Brighton & Hove Albion · 0.04 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Manchester City Brighton & Hove Albion

Shots: 22; 6
On target: 6; 3
Inside the box: 17; 5
xG per shot: 0.11; 0.14
Open play xG: 1.18; 0.81
Set-piece xG: 0.36; 0.01
Penalties: 1; 0

Manchester City's shots add up to 2.36 xG and Brighton & Hove Albion's to 0.82; the published figures are 2.35 and 0.81.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

28 shots · 3.18 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Manchester City
Brighton & Hove Albion
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Manchester City

1.73 xG created 1.15 xGA

W 2.42 created, 0.71 conceded against Sunderland
W 1.19 created, 1.88 conceded against Crystal Palace
W 2.10 created, 0.98 conceded against West Ham United
W 1.39 created, 0.59 conceded against Nottingham Forest
D 2.24 created, 0.88 conceded against Sunderland
D 1.02 created, 1.85 conceded against Chelsea

Brighton & Hove Albion

1.69 xG created 1.64 xGA

D 1.87 created, 1.14 conceded against West Ham United
L 1.90 created, 1.89 conceded against Liverpool
D 1.13 created, 1.38 conceded against Sunderland
L 0.85 created, 3.08 conceded against Arsenal
D 2.94 created, 2.06 conceded against West Ham United
W 1.45 created, 0.30 conceded against Burnley

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Manchester City: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Brighton & Hove Albion 2:1 Manchester City 31/08/2025 xG 2.30 – 1.82

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.