Aston Villa 1:0 Brighton & Hove Albion: xG & match report · Premier League

Wednesday, 11/02/2026 at 20:30

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Aston Villa Home 0.72 xG · 16 shots

Brighton & Hove Albion Away 0.50 xG · 9 shots

10 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

86' Jack Hinshelwood (o.g.) Aston Villa · 0.10 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Aston Villa Brighton & Hove Albion

Shots: 16; 9
On target: 2; 3
Inside the box: 10; 7
xG per shot: 0.05; 0.06
Open play xG: 0.39; 0.41
Set-piece xG: 0.44; 0.13
Penalties: —; —

Aston Villa's shots add up to 0.83 xG and Brighton & Hove Albion's to 0.54; the published figures are 0.72 and 0.50.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

25 shots · 1.37 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Aston Villa
Brighton & Hove Albion
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Aston Villa

1.38 xG created 1.35 xGA

W 1.59 created, 0.89 conceded against Nottingham Forest
D 1.74 created, 1.50 conceded against Crystal Palace
L 1.36 created, 0.56 conceded against Everton
W 1.16 created, 2.30 conceded against Newcastle United
L 1.98 created, 0.53 conceded against Brentford
D 0.44 created, 2.31 conceded against Bournemouth

Brighton & Hove Albion

1.16 xG created 1.24 xGA

W 1.45 created, 0.30 conceded against Burnley
D 0.81 created, 2.35 conceded against Manchester City
D 1.05 created, 1.33 conceded against Bournemouth
L 1.50 created, 1.13 conceded against Fulham
D 1.29 created, 1.20 conceded against Everton
L 0.85 created, 1.16 conceded against Crystal Palace

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Aston Villa: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Brighton & Hove Albion 3:4 Aston Villa 03/12/2025 xG 2.21 – 2.41

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.