Aston Villa 0:1 Everton: xG & match report · Premier League

Sunday, 18/01/2026 at 17:30

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Aston Villa Home 1.36 xG · 18 shots

Everton Away 0.56 xG · 9 shots

01 The result went against the chances

Goals

59' Thierno Barry Everton · 0.16 xG chance 0–1

The shots behind it

Aston Villa Everton

Shots: 18; 9
On target: 5; 3
Inside the box: 12; 5
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.06
Open play xG: 1.23; 0.43
Set-piece xG: 0.12; 0.15
Penalties: —; —

Aston Villa's shots add up to 1.35 xG and Everton's to 0.58; the published figures are 1.36 and 0.56.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

27 shots · 1.93 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Aston Villa
Everton
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Aston Villa

1.57 xG created 1.66 xGA

W 0.67 created, 1.03 conceded against West Ham United
W 1.54 created, 1.33 conceded against Manchester United
W 1.19 created, 2.14 conceded against Chelsea
L 2.67 created, 3.04 conceded against Arsenal
W 1.59 created, 0.89 conceded against Nottingham Forest
D 1.74 created, 1.50 conceded against Crystal Palace

Everton

0.85 xG created 1.72 xGA

L 1.03 created, 2.20 conceded against Chelsea
L 0.20 created, 1.81 conceded against Arsenal
D 0.82 created, 1.41 conceded against Burnley
W 1.26 created, 1.55 conceded against Nottingham Forest
L 0.89 created, 2.66 conceded against Brentford
D 0.89 created, 0.68 conceded against Wolverhampton

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Aston Villa: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Everton 0:0 Aston Villa 13/09/2025 xG 2.08 – 0.54

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.