Aston Villa 3:1 Fulham: xG & match report · Premier League

Sunday, 28/09/2025 at 15:00

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Aston Villa Home 1.11 xG · 9 shots

Fulham Away 0.92 xG · 11 shots

31 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

3' Raúl Jiménez Fulham · 0.06 xG chance 0–1
37' Ollie Watkins Aston Villa · 0.27 xG chance 1–1
49' John McGinn Aston Villa · 0.09 xG chance 2–1
51' Emiliano Buendía Aston Villa · 0.26 xG chance 3–1

The shots behind it

Aston Villa Fulham

Shots: 9; 11
On target: 4; 4
Inside the box: 4; 9
xG per shot: 0.12; 0.10
Open play xG: 1.00; 0.94
Set-piece xG: 0.08; 0.13
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.11 for Aston Villa and 1.06 for Fulham.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

20 shots · 2.15 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Aston Villa
Fulham
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Aston Villa

0.78 xG created 1.69 xGA

D 0.20 created, 1.43 conceded against Newcastle United
L 1.23 created, 1.27 conceded against Brentford
L 1.14 created, 2.65 conceded against Crystal Palace
D 0.54 created, 2.08 conceded against Everton
D 0.78 created, 1.04 conceded against Sunderland

Fulham

1.08 xG created 1.37 xGA

D 0.76 created, 1.48 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
D 1.76 created, 1.63 conceded against Manchester United
L 1.02 created, 2.35 conceded against Chelsea
W 0.85 created, 0.79 conceded against Leeds United
W 1.01 created, 0.60 conceded against Brentford

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.