Nottingham Forest 3:0 Tottenham Hotspur: xG & match report · Premier League

Sunday, 14/12/2025 at 15:00

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Nottingham Forest Home 1.91 xG · 15 shots

Tottenham Hotspur Away 0.37 xG · 6 shots

30 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

28' Callum Hudson Odoi Nottingham Forest · 0.79 xG chance 1–0
50' Callum Hudson Odoi Nottingham Forest · 0.01 xG chance 2–0
79' Ibrahim Sangaré Nottingham Forest · 0.03 xG chance 3–0

The shots behind it

Nottingham Forest Tottenham Hotspur

Shots: 15; 6
On target: 6; 1
Inside the box: 10; 5
xG per shot: 0.12; 0.06
Open play xG: 1.67; 0.30
Set-piece xG: 0.20; 0.07
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.92 for Nottingham Forest.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

21 shots · 2.24 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Nottingham Forest
Tottenham Hotspur
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Nottingham Forest

1.38 xG created 1.30 xGA

D 2.00 created, 1.15 conceded against Manchester United
W 2.55 created, 0.69 conceded against Leeds United
W 1.58 created, 1.93 conceded against Liverpool
L 0.89 created, 2.00 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
W 0.74 created, 0.91 conceded against Wolverhampton
L 0.53 created, 1.12 conceded against Everton

Tottenham Hotspur

0.81 xG created 1.50 xGA

L 0.10 created, 3.68 conceded against Chelsea
D 0.92 created, 0.63 conceded against Manchester United
L 0.07 created, 1.93 conceded against Arsenal
L 0.86 created, 0.42 conceded against Fulham
D 0.75 created, 2.04 conceded against Newcastle United
W 2.18 created, 0.29 conceded against Brentford

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.