What NŠ Mura have left to play in PrvaLiga (Slovenia) 2026/2027, soonest first. Open a match for the projection behind it and the prices standing against it.
Fixture outlook
3 matches ahead in PrvaLiga (Slovenia)
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
What the fixtures say
The run of 3 matches ahead of NŠ Mura in PrvaLiga (Slovenia) rates 2.3 of 5 for difficulty, which the scale calls Favourable. 2 of them rate easier than balanced, and nothing in the run rates harder. The model expects 1.63 projected xG a match from them and 4.8 of the 9 points the priced fixtures could return. The hardest of them is NK Olimpija Ljubljana away, banded 3 of 5 — Balanced, against an attack rated 57/99 and a defence rated 66/99.
The run at a glance
Kalcer Radomlje away Wed 28/10
Projected xG 1.80 – 1.16 NŠ Mura win 51%
NK Olimpija Ljubljana away Sat 10/10
Projected xG 1.23 – 1.34 NŠ Mura win 32%
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Open the match page for NK Olimpija Ljubljana
Sat 10/10 Away NK Olimpija Ljubljana PrvaLiga (Slovenia)
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 57/99, defence 66/99Projected xG 1.23 – 1.34 Projected xPts 1.26- NK Olimpija Ljubljana
- 37%
- Draw
- 31%
- NŠ Mura
- 32%
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Open the match page for NK Nafta Lendava 1903
Sat 17/10 Home NK Nafta Lendava 1903 PrvaLiga (Slovenia)
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 61/99, defence 29/99Projected xG 1.84 – 1.26 Projected xPts 1.76- NŠ Mura
- 50%
- Draw
- 27%
- NK Nafta Lendava 1903
- 23%
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Open the match page for Kalcer Radomlje
Wed 28/10 Away Kalcer Radomlje PrvaLiga (Slovenia)
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 29/99, defence 23/99Projected xG 1.80 – 1.16 Projected xPts 1.81- Kalcer Radomlje
- 22%
- Draw
- 27%
- NŠ Mura
- 51%
PrvaLiga (Slovenia) publishes only its next few rounds, so the list stops here. The rest of the season is added as the league schedules it.
The band is how hard the model rates each match, from 1 (easiest) to 5 (hardest). Opponent attack and defence use the same 1–99 scale as Team Strength, where 50 is the average side in PrvaLiga (Slovenia).
Fixture difficulty in PrvaLiga (Slovenia)
Reads each matchup for NŠ Mura: the band is cut from the model's chances of NŠ Mura winning and losing the match, so NŠ Mura's own strength and home advantage are in it.
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
Next 3 opponents
−0.16 xG vs league average
League rank unavailable. Only 3 upcoming league fixtures are currently scheduled.
Reads the opponents alone, whoever plays them: each one's fitted xG margin against PrvaLiga (Slovenia)'s average club, with no venue and nothing of NŠ Mura's own strength in it.
Opponents behind the figure
Next 3
−0.16 xG vs league average · over 3 fixtures
- NK Olimpija Ljubljana Away +0.25
- NK Nafta Lendava 1903 Home −0.20
- Kalcer Radomlje Away −0.52
About these numbers
What is published, what is worked out, and what is the model's
Published by the fixtures feed and stored as it arrives: the kickoff time, the two clubs, the competition, and whether a match is still scheduled.
Worked out here from stored figures: each opponent's attack and defence on a 1–99 scale, where 50 is the average side in PrvaLiga (Slovenia) and a higher score is a stronger side at both ends; the difficulty band, cut from the model's chances of winning and losing each fixture; and everything the outlook, the strip and the fixture difficulty block add up from the rows — the run's mean band, its averages and totals, the counts they were taken over, the placings and the competition's average.
Worked out here from the model's ratings alone: the Upcoming opponent strength block, the mean of the next 5 opponents' fitted xG margins against the league's average club, whoever plays them, and its rank among the competition's clubs.
The model's output, for matches nobody has played yet: projected xG and xGA, the chances of a win, a draw and a loss, and xPts.
Projected xG is what the model expects a side to create in a match still to come. It is not the xG on the Results page, which measures the chances a side actually had.
xPts is what those three chances are worth in points: 3 times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw, so 3 is the most a single fixture can be worth.
The difficulty band runs from 1, the most favourable fixture, to 5, the least favourable — so the lower a run's difficulty, the kinder the run.