Heart of Midlothian 2026/2027 · Scottish Premiership

Form · last 5

D L W W W

+0.45 xGD / match

Expected goals 11.33 xG 8.85 xGA 14 scored · 8 conceded

Team strength 58 / 99 #3 in Scottish Premiership League avg: 50

Heart of Midlothian right now

Heart of Midlothian have made a strong start and sit 3rd in Scottish Premiership. A +2.48 xG difference sits behind 13 points from 7 matches, which suggests the performances have been better than the results. They have outscored their 11.33 xG by 2.67, while conceding slightly fewer than the 8.85 xG against them (−0.85). Their defence rates 3rd of 12 in Scottish Premiership for the chances it allows an average opponent.

How Heart of Midlothian compares

Attack #4 of 12 Defence #3 of 12 xG difference #3 of 12

Chance quality #8 of 12

Next match Scottish Premiership · Sat 10/10 16:00

Home St. Mirren

1.31 Projected expected goals 0.96

Model probability

Heart of Midlothian: 43%
Draw: 33%
St. Mirren: 24%

Data coverage: Full

Last result Scottish Premiership · Sat 19/09

Away Kilmarnock

1:1 Draw

Expected goals: 1.78 – 0.23
xG difference: +1.55

Created enough to win

Every result →

Performance

Goals vs xG — match by match

Bars are goals scored. Lines are the xG created and conceded in each match.

xG created xGA conceded Goals

The season so far 7 matches, as they add up +2.48 xG difference +0.35 xGD / match

Every match behind the chart above: Heart of Midlothian's expected goals for and against, and the goals it scored.
Date	Opponent	Venue	Score	Expected goals	Expected goals conceded	xG difference	Goals scored
Sat 01/08	Aberdeen	Away	1:2	1.34	2.66	-1.32	1
Sun 09/08	Dundee United	Home	4:0	2.09	0.54	+1.55	4
Sat 29/08	St. Johnstone	Home	2:1	1.71	1.16	+0.55	2
Thu 03/09	Hibernian	Away	3:1	0.82	1.70	-0.88	3
Sun 06/09	Dundee FC	Home	2:1	1.87	0.51	+1.36	2
Tue 15/09	Falkirk FC	Away	1:2	1.72	2.05	-0.33	1
Sat 19/09	Kilmarnock	Away	1:1	1.78	0.23	+1.55	1
The season so far				11.33	8.85		14