Heart of Midlothian 2:2 Celtic: xG & match report · Scottish Premiership

Sunday, 25/01/2026 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Scottish Premiership

Heart of Midlothian Home 1.66 xG

Celtic Away 1.32 xG

22 Heart of Midlothian had the better chances, but it finished level

The shots behind it

Heart of Midlothian Celtic

Shots: 16; 9
On target: 8; 3
Inside the box: 10; 7
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.15

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Heart of Midlothian

1.57 xG created 1.00 xGA

W 1.50 created, 1.03 conceded against Falkirk FC
W 1.50 created, 0.94 conceded against Rangers
L 1.91 created, 0.88 conceded against Hibernian
W 2.14 created, 0.61 conceded against Livingston
W 0.24 created, 1.55 conceded against Dundee FC
W 2.11 created, 0.98 conceded against St. Mirren

Celtic

2.17 xG created 1.11 xGA

W 4.87 created, 0.91 conceded against Aberdeen
W 2.70 created, 0.88 conceded against Livingston
L 0.66 created, 1.41 conceded against Motherwell
L 1.73 created, 1.40 conceded against Rangers
W 2.44 created, 0.33 conceded against Dundee United
W 0.62 created, 1.72 conceded against Falkirk FC

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Heart of Midlothian: 2 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.