Bologna 1:3 Cremonese: xG & match report · Serie A

Monday, 01/12/2025 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Bologna Home 2.72 xG · 29 shots

Cremonese Away 2.13 xG · 10 shots

13 The result went against the chances

Goals

31' Martín Payero Cremonese · 0.42 xG chance 0–1
35' Jamie Vardy Cremonese · 0.23 xG chance 0–2
45' Riccardo Orsolini (pen.) Bologna · 0.82 xG chance 1–2
50' Jamie Vardy Cremonese · 0.34 xG chance 1–3

The shots behind it

Bologna Cremonese

Shots: 29; 10
On target: 7; 5
Inside the box: 20; 7
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.21
Open play xG: 1.35; 1.02
Set-piece xG: 0.57; 1.08
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.93 for Bologna and 2.13 for Cremonese.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

39 shots · 4.84 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Bologna
Cremonese
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Bologna

1.33 xG created 1.12 xGA

W 1.11 created, 0.22 conceded against Cagliari
D 0.55 created, 3.72 conceded against Fiorentina
D 0.43 created, 0.54 conceded against Torino
W 2.72 created, 0.51 conceded against Parma
W 0.92 created, 0.24 conceded against Napoli
W 2.22 created, 1.46 conceded against Udinese

Cremonese

0.97 xG created 1.29 xGA

D 1.07 created, 0.55 conceded against Udinese
D 1.12 created, 1.15 conceded against Atalanta
W 1.39 created, 1.31 conceded against Genoa
L 0.54 created, 2.03 conceded against Juventus
L 0.80 created, 0.81 conceded against Pisa
L 0.89 created, 1.90 conceded against Roma

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.