Parma 1:3 Bologna: xG & match report · Serie A

Sunday, 02/11/2025 at 18:00

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Parma Home 0.51 xG · 7 shots

Bologna Away 2.72 xG · 22 shots

13 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

1' Adrián Bernabé Parma · 0.14 xG chance 1–0
17' Santiago Castro Bologna · 0.33 xG chance 1–1
68' Santiago Castro Bologna · 0.16 xG chance 1–2
90' Juan Miranda Bologna · 0.03 xG chance 1–3

The shots behind it

Parma Bologna

Shots: 7; 22
On target: 1; 6
Inside the box: 5; 16
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.14
Open play xG: 0.46; 2.91
Set-piece xG: 0.02; 0.09
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.47 for Parma and 2.96 for Bologna.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

29 shots · 3.48 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Parma
Bologna
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Parma

0.77 xG created 0.84 xGA

D 0.84 created, 0.12 conceded against Cremonese
W 1.34 created, 0.76 conceded against Torino
L 0.59 created, 0.50 conceded against Lecce
D 0.05 created, 2.20 conceded against Genoa
D 0.57 created, 0.43 conceded against Como
L 1.21 created, 1.01 conceded against Roma

Bologna

1.45 xG created 1.14 xGA

W 1.59 created, 0.53 conceded against Genoa
D 1.37 created, 1.80 conceded against Lecce
W 3.62 created, 0.04 conceded against Pisa
W 1.11 created, 0.22 conceded against Cagliari
D 0.55 created, 3.72 conceded against Fiorentina
D 0.43 created, 0.54 conceded against Torino

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.