Roma 2:1 Parma: xG & match report · Serie A

Wednesday, 29/10/2025 at 18:30

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Roma Home 1.01 xG · 18 shots

Parma Away 1.21 xG · 8 shots

21 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

63' Mario Hermoso Roma · 0.05 xG chance 1–0
81' Artem Dovbyk Roma · 0.07 xG chance 2–0
86' Alessandro Circati Parma · 0.52 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Roma Parma

Shots: 18; 8
On target: 6; 5
Inside the box: 11; 5
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.14
Open play xG: 0.57; 0.26
Set-piece xG: 0.45; 0.87
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.01 for Roma and 1.13 for Parma.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

26 shots · 2.15 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Roma
Parma
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Roma

1.28 xG created 0.98 xGA

L 1.14 created, 0.65 conceded against Torino
W 1.16 created, 1.04 conceded against Lazio
W 0.95 created, 1.38 conceded against Hellas Verona
W 1.35 created, 1.10 conceded against Fiorentina
L 1.35 created, 0.63 conceded against Inter
W 1.74 created, 1.06 conceded against Sassuolo

Parma

0.89 xG created 0.86 xGA

L 1.96 created, 1.13 conceded against Cagliari
D 0.84 created, 0.12 conceded against Cremonese
W 1.34 created, 0.76 conceded against Torino
L 0.59 created, 0.50 conceded against Lecce
D 0.05 created, 2.20 conceded against Genoa
D 0.57 created, 0.43 conceded against Como

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.