Como 1:3 Milan: xG & match report · Serie A

Thursday, 15/01/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Como Home 1.87 xG · 18 shots

Milan Away 1.28 xG · 7 shots

13 The result went against the chances

Goals

10' Marc Kempf Como · 0.38 xG chance 1–0
45' Christopher Nkunku (pen.) Milan · 0.82 xG chance 1–1
55' Adrien Rabiot Milan · 0.14 xG chance 1–2
88' Adrien Rabiot Milan · 0.04 xG chance 1–3

The shots behind it

Como Milan

Shots: 18; 7
On target: 8; 4
Inside the box: 10; 4
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.19
Open play xG: 1.35; 0.31
Set-piece xG: 0.49; 0.17
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.87 for Como and 0.48 for Milan.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

25 shots · 3.14 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Como
Milan
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Como

1.34 xG created 1.11 xGA

L 1.02 created, 1.42 conceded against Inter
L 0.60 created, 1.16 conceded against Roma
W 1.63 created, 0.76 conceded against Lecce
W 2.24 created, 0.61 conceded against Udinese
W 1.73 created, 1.56 conceded against Pisa
D 0.84 created, 1.15 conceded against Bologna

Milan

1.77 xG created 1.02 xGA

W 1.67 created, 1.03 conceded against Torino
D 1.45 created, 1.07 conceded against Sassuolo
W 2.43 created, 0.39 conceded against Hellas Verona
W 0.70 created, 0.38 conceded against Cagliari
D 2.45 created, 1.32 conceded against Genoa
D 1.93 created, 1.90 conceded against Fiorentina

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.