Milan 3:0 Hellas Verona: xG & match report · Serie A

Sunday, 28/12/2025 at 12:30

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Milan Home 2.43 xG · 11 shots

Hellas Verona Away 0.39 xG · 9 shots

30 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

45' Christian Pulišić Milan · 0.29 xG chance 1–0
48' Christopher Nkunku (pen.) Milan · 0.82 xG chance 2–0
53' Christopher Nkunku Milan · 0.91 xG chance 3–0

The shots behind it

Milan Hellas Verona

Shots: 11; 9
On target: 5; 1
Inside the box: 7; 3
xG per shot: 0.22; 0.04
Open play xG: 1.13; 0.12
Set-piece xG: 0.51; 0.26
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.68 for Milan and 0.39 for Hellas Verona.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

20 shots · 2.84 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Milan
Hellas Verona
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Milan

1.81 xG created 1.42 xGA

W 3.32 created, 1.95 conceded against Roma
D 1.95 created, 1.88 conceded against Parma
W 1.01 created, 1.92 conceded against Inter
W 1.47 created, 0.68 conceded against Lazio
W 1.67 created, 1.03 conceded against Torino
D 1.45 created, 1.07 conceded against Sassuolo

Hellas Verona

0.98 xG created 1.33 xGA

L 0.38 created, 1.11 conceded against Inter
D 0.65 created, 0.49 conceded against Lecce
L 0.63 created, 1.44 conceded against Parma
L 2.28 created, 1.75 conceded against Genoa
W 0.99 created, 1.47 conceded against Atalanta
W 0.94 created, 1.71 conceded against Fiorentina

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.