Fiorentina 1:2 Hellas Verona: xG & match report · Serie A

Sunday, 14/12/2025 at 15:00

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Match report · Serie A

Fiorentina Home 1.71 xG · 21 shots

Hellas Verona Away 0.94 xG · 13 shots

12 The result went against the chances

Goals

42' Gift Orban Hellas Verona · 0.09 xG chance 0–1
69' Unai Núñez (o.g.) Fiorentina · 0.10 xG chance 1–1
90' Gift Orban Hellas Verona · 0.20 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Fiorentina Hellas Verona

Shots: 21; 13
On target: 5; 3
Inside the box: 15; 7
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.07
Open play xG: 1.08; 0.64
Set-piece xG: 0.72; 0.31
Penalties: —; —

Fiorentina's shots add up to 1.80 xG and Hellas Verona's to 0.95; the published figures are 1.71 and 0.94.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

34 shots · 2.75 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Fiorentina
Hellas Verona
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Fiorentina

1.19 xG created 1.58 xGA

L 0.72 created, 2.63 conceded against Inter
L 1.46 created, 1.15 conceded against Lecce
D 1.56 created, 1.58 conceded against Genoa
D 0.58 created, 1.50 conceded against Juventus
L 1.58 created, 1.60 conceded against Atalanta
L 1.21 created, 1.00 conceded against Sassuolo

Hellas Verona

1.08 xG created 1.29 xGA

L 1.52 created, 1.50 conceded against Como
L 0.38 created, 1.11 conceded against Inter
D 0.65 created, 0.49 conceded against Lecce
L 0.63 created, 1.44 conceded against Parma
L 2.28 created, 1.75 conceded against Genoa
W 0.99 created, 1.47 conceded against Atalanta

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.