Atalanta 2:0 Fiorentina: xG & match report · Serie A

Sunday, 30/11/2025 at 18:00

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Match report · Serie A

Atalanta Home 1.60 xG · 21 shots

Fiorentina Away 1.58 xG · 15 shots

20 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

41' Odilon Kossounou Atalanta · 0.02 xG chance 1–0
51' Ademola Lookman Atalanta · 0.28 xG chance 2–0

The shots behind it

Atalanta Fiorentina

Shots: 21; 15
On target: 9; 3
Inside the box: 14; 13
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.11
Open play xG: 1.12; 1.38
Set-piece xG: 0.51; 0.21
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.62 for Atalanta and 1.60 for Fiorentina.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

36 shots · 3.22 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Atalanta
Fiorentina
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Atalanta

1.12 xG created 0.94 xGA

D 2.18 created, 0.25 conceded against Lazio
D 1.15 created, 1.12 conceded against Cremonese
D 1.34 created, 0.36 conceded against Milan
L 0.37 created, 0.53 conceded against Udinese
L 0.91 created, 1.81 conceded against Sassuolo
L 0.78 created, 1.58 conceded against Napoli

Fiorentina

1.52 xG created 1.57 xGA

L 1.08 created, 1.98 conceded against Milan
D 3.72 created, 0.55 conceded against Bologna
L 0.72 created, 2.63 conceded against Inter
L 1.46 created, 1.15 conceded against Lecce
D 1.56 created, 1.58 conceded against Genoa
D 0.58 created, 1.50 conceded against Juventus

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.