xgEdge

Saturday, 01/11/2025 at 15:00

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Match report · Serie A

Udinese 1:0 Atalanta

Udinese Home 0.53 xG · 11 shots
Atalanta Away 0.37 xG · 5 shots
10 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

  1. 40' Nicolò Zaniolo Udinese · 0.14 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Udinese Atalanta
Shots
11
5
On target
5
0
Inside the box
3
3
xG per shot
0.05
0.08
Open play xG
0.37
0.17
Set-piece xG
0.14
0.21
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.53 for Udinese and 0.38 for Atalanta.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Atalanta · Berat Djimsiti · 2' · No goal · 6 m · 0.14 xG Udinese · Nicolò Zaniolo · 40' · Goal · 12 m · 0.14 xG Atalanta · Nikola Krstović · 62' · No goal · 10 m · 0.12 xG Udinese · Nicolò Zaniolo · 17' · No goal · 13 m · 0.07 xG Udinese · Hassane Kamara · 32' · No goal · 18 m · 0.07 xG Atalanta · Gianluca Scamacca · 55' · No goal · 26 m · 0.06 xG Atalanta · Éderson · 38' · No goal · 16 m · 0.05 xG Udinese · Vakoun Issouf Bayo · 73' · No goal · 14 m · 0.04 xG Udinese · Jakub Piotrowski · 90' · No goal · 26 m · 0.04 xG Udinese · Nicolò Zaniolo · 15' · No goal · 28 m · 0.03 xG Udinese · Arthur Atta · 18' · No goal · 23 m · 0.03 xG Udinese · Jesper Karlström · 43' · No goal · 24 m · 0.03 xG Udinese · Nicolò Zaniolo · 57' · No goal · 31 m · 0.03 xG Udinese · Arthur Atta · 14' · No goal · 23 m · 0.02 xG Udinese · Hassane Kamara · 20' · No goal · 34 m · 0.01 xG Atalanta · Raoul Bellanova · 81' · No goal · 21 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

16 shots · 0.89 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Udinese
  • Atalanta
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Udinese

1.08 xG created 1.38 xGA

  • L 0.34 created, 1.44 conceded against Milan
  • L 1.32 created, 1.24 conceded against Sassuolo
  • D 2.68 created, 0.97 conceded against Cagliari
  • D 0.55 created, 1.07 conceded against Cremonese
  • W 1.03 created, 0.38 conceded against Lecce
  • L 0.54 created, 3.17 conceded against Juventus
Atalanta

1.41 xG created 0.97 xGA

  • W 1.64 created, 1.20 conceded against Torino
  • D 0.73 created, 1.59 conceded against Juventus
  • D 1.40 created, 1.32 conceded against Como
  • D 2.18 created, 0.25 conceded against Lazio
  • D 1.15 created, 1.12 conceded against Cremonese
  • D 1.34 created, 0.36 conceded against Milan

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.