Atalanta 1:1 Milan: xG & match report · Serie A

Tuesday, 28/10/2025 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Atalanta Home 1.34 xG · 17 shots

Milan Away 0.36 xG · 6 shots

11 Atalanta had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

4' Samuele Ricci Milan · 0.01 xG chance 0–1
35' Ademola Lookman Atalanta · 0.05 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Atalanta Milan

Shots: 17; 6
On target: 3; 1
Inside the box: 11; 4
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.07
Open play xG: 0.82; 0.15
Set-piece xG: 0.50; 0.26
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.34 for Atalanta and 0.40 for Milan.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

23 shots · 1.73 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Atalanta
Milan
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Atalanta

1.54 xG created 0.99 xGA

W 2.12 created, 0.46 conceded against Lecce
W 1.64 created, 1.20 conceded against Torino
D 0.73 created, 1.59 conceded against Juventus
D 1.40 created, 1.32 conceded against Como
D 2.18 created, 0.25 conceded against Lazio
D 1.15 created, 1.12 conceded against Cremonese

Milan

1.41 xG created 1.18 xGA

W 1.00 created, 0.17 conceded against Bologna
W 1.44 created, 0.34 conceded against Udinese
W 0.75 created, 2.96 conceded against Napoli
D 1.74 created, 1.13 conceded against Juventus
W 1.98 created, 1.08 conceded against Fiorentina
D 1.54 created, 1.42 conceded against Pisa

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.