Milan 2:2 Pisa: xG & match report · Serie A

Friday, 24/10/2025 at 20:45

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Match report · Serie A

Milan Home 1.54 xG · 20 shots

Pisa Away 1.42 xG · 8 shots

22 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

7' Rafael Leão Milan · 0.01 xG chance 1–0
60' Juan Cuadrado (pen.) Pisa · 0.82 xG chance 1–1
86' M'bala Nzola Pisa · 0.63 xG chance 1–2
90' Zachary Athekame Milan · 0.01 xG chance 2–2

The shots behind it

Milan Pisa

Shots: 20; 8
On target: 7; 2
Inside the box: 9; 3
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.19
Open play xG: 1.31; 0.70
Set-piece xG: 0.19; 0.03
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.54 for Milan and 0.72 for Pisa.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

28 shots · 3.05 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Milan
Pisa
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Milan

1.46 xG created 1.00 xGA

W 1.85 created, 0.30 conceded against Lecce
W 1.00 created, 0.17 conceded against Bologna
W 1.44 created, 0.34 conceded against Udinese
W 0.75 created, 2.96 conceded against Napoli
D 1.74 created, 1.13 conceded against Juventus
W 1.98 created, 1.08 conceded against Fiorentina

Pisa

0.87 xG created 1.49 xGA

L 0.56 created, 0.78 conceded against Roma
L 0.53 created, 1.00 conceded against Udinese
L 2.61 created, 1.08 conceded against Napoli
D 0.80 created, 0.89 conceded against Fiorentina
L 0.04 created, 3.62 conceded against Bologna
D 0.65 created, 1.54 conceded against Hellas Verona

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.