Hellas Verona 3:1 Atalanta: xG & match report · Serie A

Saturday, 06/12/2025 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Hellas Verona Home 0.99 xG · 12 shots

Atalanta Away 1.47 xG · 12 shots

31 The result went against the chances

Goals

28' Rafik Belghali Hellas Verona · 0.20 xG chance 1–0
36' Giovane Hellas Verona · 0.10 xG chance 2–0
71' Antoine Bernede Hellas Verona · 0.20 xG chance 3–0
81' Gianluca Scamacca (pen.) Atalanta · 0.82 xG chance 3–1

The shots behind it

Hellas Verona Atalanta

Shots: 12; 12
On target: 7; 5
Inside the box: 6; 9
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.13
Open play xG: 0.85; 0.43
Set-piece xG: 0.14; 0.36
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.79 for Atalanta.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

24 shots · 2.60 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Hellas Verona
Atalanta
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Hellas Verona

1.25 xG created 1.12 xGA

D 2.02 created, 0.44 conceded against Cagliari
L 1.52 created, 1.50 conceded against Como
L 0.38 created, 1.11 conceded against Inter
D 0.65 created, 0.49 conceded against Lecce
L 0.63 created, 1.44 conceded against Parma
L 2.28 created, 1.75 conceded against Genoa

Atalanta

1.03 xG created 1.16 xGA

D 1.15 created, 1.12 conceded against Cremonese
D 1.34 created, 0.36 conceded against Milan
L 0.37 created, 0.53 conceded against Udinese
L 0.91 created, 1.81 conceded against Sassuolo
L 0.78 created, 1.58 conceded against Napoli
W 1.60 created, 1.58 conceded against Fiorentina

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.