Genoa 2:1 Hellas Verona: xG & match report · Serie A

Saturday, 29/11/2025 at 15:00

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Genoa Home 1.75 xG · 15 shots

Hellas Verona Away 2.28 xG · 13 shots

21 The result went against the chances

Goals

21' Rafik Belghali Hellas Verona · 0.33 xG chance 0–1
40' Lorenzo Colombo Genoa · 0.72 xG chance 1–1
62' Morten Thorsby Genoa · 0.38 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Genoa Hellas Verona

Shots: 15; 13
On target: 4; 5
Inside the box: 11; 11
xG per shot: 0.13; 0.18
Open play xG: 1.13; 1.17
Set-piece xG: 0.86; 1.17
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.03 for Genoa and 2.30 for Hellas Verona.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

28 shots · 4.33 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Genoa
Hellas Verona
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Genoa

1.70 xG created 1.07 xGA

D 2.20 created, 0.05 conceded against Parma
L 1.90 created, 1.35 conceded against Torino
L 1.31 created, 1.39 conceded against Cremonese
W 1.76 created, 1.15 conceded against Sassuolo
D 1.58 created, 1.56 conceded against Fiorentina
D 1.42 created, 0.90 conceded against Cagliari

Hellas Verona

1.12 xG created 0.94 xGA

D 1.54 created, 0.65 conceded against Pisa
D 2.02 created, 0.44 conceded against Cagliari
L 1.52 created, 1.50 conceded against Como
L 0.38 created, 1.11 conceded against Inter
D 0.65 created, 0.49 conceded against Lecce
L 0.63 created, 1.44 conceded against Parma

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.