Hellas Verona 1:2 Parma: xG & match report · Serie A

Sunday, 23/11/2025 at 12:30

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Hellas Verona Home 0.63 xG · 10 shots

Parma Away 1.44 xG · 15 shots

12 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

18' Mateo Pellegrino Parma · 0.22 xG chance 0–1
65' Giovane Hellas Verona · 0.14 xG chance 1–1
80' Mateo Pellegrino Parma · 0.38 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Hellas Verona Parma

Shots: 10; 15
On target: 2; 7
Inside the box: 5; 7
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.10
Open play xG: 0.45; 0.75
Set-piece xG: 0.20; 0.77
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.63 for Hellas Verona and 1.52 for Parma.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

25 shots · 2.17 xG

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Hellas Verona
Parma
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Hellas Verona

1.15 xG created 0.98 xGA

L 0.80 created, 1.67 conceded against Sassuolo
D 1.54 created, 0.65 conceded against Pisa
D 2.02 created, 0.44 conceded against Cagliari
L 1.52 created, 1.50 conceded against Como
L 0.38 created, 1.11 conceded against Inter
D 0.65 created, 0.49 conceded against Lecce

Parma

0.80 xG created 1.47 xGA

L 0.59 created, 0.50 conceded against Lecce
D 0.05 created, 2.20 conceded against Genoa
D 0.57 created, 0.43 conceded against Como
L 1.21 created, 1.01 conceded against Roma
L 0.51 created, 2.72 conceded against Bologna
D 1.88 created, 1.95 conceded against Milan

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.