Parma 2:2 Milan: xG & match report · Serie A

Saturday, 08/11/2025 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Parma Home 1.88 xG · 14 shots

Milan Away 1.95 xG · 9 shots

22 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

12' Alexis Saelemaekers Milan · 0.03 xG chance 0–1
25' Rafael Leão (pen.) Milan · 0.82 xG chance 0–2
45' Adrián Bernabé Parma · 0.05 xG chance 1–2
62' Enrico Delprato Parma · 0.44 xG chance 2–2

The shots behind it

Parma Milan

Shots: 14; 9
On target: 4; 5
Inside the box: 9; 6
xG per shot: 0.13; 0.23
Open play xG: 0.46; 1.25
Set-piece xG: 1.42; 0.03
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.28 for Milan.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

23 shots · 3.98 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Parma
Milan
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Parma

0.71 xG created 1.27 xGA

W 1.34 created, 0.76 conceded against Torino
L 0.59 created, 0.50 conceded against Lecce
D 0.05 created, 2.20 conceded against Genoa
D 0.57 created, 0.43 conceded against Como
L 1.21 created, 1.01 conceded against Roma
L 0.51 created, 2.72 conceded against Bologna

Milan

1.62 xG created 1.65 xGA

W 0.75 created, 2.96 conceded against Napoli
D 1.74 created, 1.13 conceded against Juventus
W 1.98 created, 1.08 conceded against Fiorentina
D 1.54 created, 1.42 conceded against Pisa
D 0.36 created, 1.34 conceded against Atalanta
W 3.32 created, 1.95 conceded against Roma

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.