Como 1:0 Parma: xG & match report · Serie A

Sunday, 17/05/2026 at 12:00

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Match report · Serie A

Como Home 2.77 xG · 23 shots

Parma Away 0.43 xG · 2 shots

10 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

58' Alberto Moreno Como · 0.51 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Como Parma

Shots: 23; 2
On target: 7; 2
Inside the box: 15; 2
xG per shot: 0.13; 0.21
Open play xG: 2.47; 0.00
Set-piece xG: 0.59; 0.41
Penalties: —; —

Como's shots add up to 3.06 xG and Parma's to 0.41; the published figures are 2.77 and 0.43.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

25 shots · 3.47 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Como
Parma
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Como

1.34 xG created 0.92 xGA

D 0.60 created, 0.96 conceded against Udinese
L 3.12 created, 0.88 conceded against Inter
L 0.59 created, 1.38 conceded against Sassuolo
W 1.06 created, 0.59 conceded against Genoa
D 1.79 created, 0.66 conceded against Napoli
W 0.85 created, 1.07 conceded against Hellas Verona

Parma

0.75 xG created 1.53 xGA

D 0.44 created, 0.40 conceded against Lazio
D 0.19 created, 1.22 conceded against Napoli
W 1.23 created, 1.13 conceded against Udinese
W 1.64 created, 1.71 conceded against Pisa
L 0.27 created, 2.09 conceded against Inter
L 0.73 created, 2.62 conceded against Roma

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Como: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Parma 0:0 Como 25/10/2025 xG 0.57 – 0.43

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.