Lazio 1:1 Parma: xG & match report · Serie A

Saturday, 04/04/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Lazio Home 0.40 xG · 7 shots

Parma Away 0.44 xG · 7 shots

11 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

15' Enrico Delprato Parma · 0.13 xG chance 0–1
77' Tijjani Noslin Lazio · 0.09 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Lazio Parma

Shots: 7; 7
On target: 3; 4
Inside the box: 5; 4
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.06
Open play xG: 0.38; 0.25
Set-piece xG: 0.01; 0.18
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.40 for Lazio and 0.44 for Parma.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

14 shots · 0.82 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Lazio
Parma
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Lazio

1.21 xG created 1.03 xGA

L 1.02 created, 1.61 conceded against Atalanta
D 0.69 created, 0.67 conceded against Cagliari
L 0.94 created, 0.69 conceded against Torino
W 2.59 created, 0.67 conceded against Sassuolo
W 0.41 created, 1.19 conceded against Milan
W 1.60 created, 1.35 conceded against Bologna

Parma

0.77 xG created 1.12 xGA

W 1.71 created, 0.91 conceded against Hellas Verona
W 0.46 created, 1.33 conceded against Milan
D 1.28 created, 0.52 conceded against Cagliari
D 0.25 created, 1.30 conceded against Fiorentina
L 0.56 created, 1.95 conceded against Torino
L 0.34 created, 0.72 conceded against Cremonese

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Lazio: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Parma 0:1 Lazio 13/12/2025 xG 1.08 – 1.35

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.