Parma 2:1 Hellas Verona: xG & match report · Serie A

Sunday, 15/02/2026 at 15:00

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Parma Home 1.71 xG · 27 shots

Hellas Verona Away 0.91 xG · 4 shots

21 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

4' Adrián Bernabé Parma · 0.04 xG chance 1–0
43' Abdou Harroui (pen.) Hellas Verona · 0.82 xG chance 1–1
90' Mateo Pellegrino Parma · 0.17 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Parma Hellas Verona

Shots: 27; 4
On target: 8; 1
Inside the box: 12; 2
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.24
Open play xG: 1.48; 0.00
Set-piece xG: 0.21; 0.13
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.71 for Parma and 0.13 for Hellas Verona.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

31 shots · 2.64 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Parma
Hellas Verona
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Parma

0.62 xG created 2.10 xGA

W 1.04 created, 0.85 conceded against Lecce
D 0.18 created, 1.37 conceded against Napoli
D 0.41 created, 1.04 conceded against Genoa
L 1.38 created, 4.07 conceded against Atalanta
L 0.55 created, 4.03 conceded against Juventus
W 0.18 created, 1.22 conceded against Bologna

Hellas Verona

0.61 xG created 1.10 xGA

L 0.53 created, 0.90 conceded against Lazio
L 1.20 created, 0.79 conceded against Bologna
D 0.51 created, 0.73 conceded against Cremonese
L 0.88 created, 1.67 conceded against Udinese
L 0.46 created, 1.68 conceded against Cagliari
D 0.06 created, 0.82 conceded against Pisa

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Parma: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Hellas Verona 1:2 Parma 23/11/2025 xG 0.63 – 1.44

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.