Atalanta 4:0 Parma: xG & match report · Serie A

Sunday, 25/01/2026 at 15:00

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Atalanta Home 4.07 xG · 21 shots

Parma Away 1.38 xG · 15 shots

40 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

15' Gianluca Scamacca (pen.) Atalanta · 0.82 xG chance 1–0
24' Marten de Roon Atalanta · 0.10 xG chance 2–0
73' Giacomo Raspadori Atalanta · 0.85 xG chance 3–0
90' Nikola Krstović Atalanta · 0.68 xG chance 4–0

The shots behind it

Atalanta Parma

Shots: 21; 15
On target: 9; 2
Inside the box: 15; 9
xG per shot: 0.20; 0.09
Open play xG: 2.47; 0.64
Set-piece xG: 1.01; 0.74
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 3.47 for Atalanta.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

36 shots · 5.68 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Atalanta
Parma
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Atalanta

1.54 xG created 0.97 xGA

W 1.44 created, 0.81 conceded against Genoa
L 0.78 created, 1.16 conceded against Inter
W 1.88 created, 0.78 conceded against Roma
W 1.38 created, 1.10 conceded against Bologna
W 2.61 created, 0.75 conceded against Torino
D 1.15 created, 1.19 conceded against Pisa

Parma

0.69 xG created 1.32 xGA

W 0.95 created, 1.23 conceded against Fiorentina
D 1.20 created, 0.86 conceded against Sassuolo
L 0.33 created, 2.57 conceded against Inter
W 1.04 created, 0.85 conceded against Lecce
D 0.18 created, 1.37 conceded against Napoli
D 0.41 created, 1.04 conceded against Genoa

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Atalanta: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Parma 1:1 Atalanta 30/08/2025 xG 0.68 – 0.81

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.