Parma 1:0 Fiorentina: xG & match report · Serie A

Saturday, 27/12/2025 at 12:30

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Parma Home 0.95 xG · 13 shots

Fiorentina Away 1.23 xG · 23 shots

10 The result went against the chances

Goals

48' Oliver Sørensen Parma · 0.18 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Parma Fiorentina

Shots: 13; 23
On target: 2; 4
Inside the box: 9; 14
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.05
Open play xG: 0.85; 1.00
Set-piece xG: 0.09; 0.25
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.96 for Parma and 1.23 for Fiorentina.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

36 shots · 2.19 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Parma
Fiorentina
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Parma

1.18 xG created 1.65 xGA

L 0.51 created, 2.72 conceded against Bologna
D 1.88 created, 1.95 conceded against Milan
W 1.44 created, 0.63 conceded against Hellas Verona
L 0.96 created, 1.74 conceded against Udinese
W 1.18 created, 1.52 conceded against Pisa
L 1.08 created, 1.35 conceded against Lazio

Fiorentina

1.64 xG created 1.21 xGA

D 1.56 created, 1.58 conceded against Genoa
D 0.58 created, 1.50 conceded against Juventus
L 1.58 created, 1.60 conceded against Atalanta
L 1.21 created, 1.00 conceded against Sassuolo
L 1.71 created, 0.94 conceded against Hellas Verona
W 3.20 created, 0.64 conceded against Udinese

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.