Parma 0:1 Lazio: xG & match report · Serie A

Saturday, 13/12/2025 at 18:00

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Match report · Serie A

Parma Home 1.08 xG · 19 shots

Lazio Away 1.35 xG · 15 shots

01 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

82' Tijjani Noslin Lazio · 0.43 xG chance 0–1

The shots behind it

Parma Lazio

Shots: 19; 15
On target: 5; 5
Inside the box: 13; 9
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.09
Open play xG: 0.91; 1.04
Set-piece xG: 0.17; 0.38
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.38 for Lazio.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

34 shots · 2.50 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Parma
Lazio
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Parma

1.20 xG created 1.60 xGA

L 1.21 created, 1.01 conceded against Roma
L 0.51 created, 2.72 conceded against Bologna
D 1.88 created, 1.95 conceded against Milan
W 1.44 created, 0.63 conceded against Hellas Verona
L 0.96 created, 1.74 conceded against Udinese
W 1.18 created, 1.52 conceded against Pisa

Lazio

0.93 xG created 1.26 xGA

D 0.48 created, 0.93 conceded against Pisa
W 0.69 created, 1.51 conceded against Cagliari
L 0.63 created, 1.91 conceded against Inter
W 1.89 created, 0.62 conceded against Lecce
L 0.68 created, 1.47 conceded against Milan
D 1.21 created, 1.11 conceded against Bologna

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.