xgEdge

Sunday, 07/12/2025 at 18:00

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Match report · Serie A

Lazio 1:1 Bologna

Lazio Home 1.21 xG · 16 shots
Bologna Away 1.11 xG · 13 shots
11 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

  1. 38' Gustav Isaksen Lazio · 0.33 xG chance 1–0
  2. 40' Jens Odgaard Bologna · 0.40 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Lazio Bologna
Shots
16
13
On target
9
6
Inside the box
11
8
xG per shot
0.08
0.09
Open play xG
1.13
1.12
Set-piece xG
0.11
0.06
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.23 for Lazio and 1.15 for Bologna.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Bologna · Jens Odgaard · 40' · Goal · 3 m · 0.40 xG Lazio · Gustav Isaksen · 38' · Goal · 3 m · 0.33 xG Lazio · Gustav Isaksen · 15' · No goal · 15 m · 0.25 xG Bologna · Juan Miranda · 43' · No goal · 3 m · 0.17 xG Bologna · Santiago Castro · 72' · No goal · 8 m · 0.13 xG Bologna · Jens Odgaard · 30' · No goal · 12 m · 0.12 xG Bologna · Nadir Zortea · 40' · No goal · 9 m · 0.11 xG Lazio · Mattéo Guendouzi · 62' · No goal · 11 m · 0.10 xG Lazio · Valentín Castellanos · 13' · No goal · 18 m · 0.08 xG Lazio · Adam Marušić · 62' · No goal · 13 m · 0.08 xG Lazio · Matteo Cancellieri · 78' · No goal · 12 m · 0.08 xG Bologna · Riccardo Orsolini · 1' · No goal · 15 m · 0.07 xG Lazio · Toma Bašić · 26' · No goal · 7 m · 0.07 xG Bologna · Santiago Castro · 22' · No goal · 10 m · 0.06 xG Lazio · Mattia Zaccagni · 38' · No goal · 5 m · 0.06 xG Lazio · Danilo Cataldi · 5' · No goal · 29 m · 0.04 xG Bologna · Jens Odgaard · 14' · No goal · 15 m · 0.03 xG Lazio · Mattéo Guendouzi · 73' · No goal · 24 m · 0.03 xG Lazio · Tijjani Noslin · 74' · No goal · 4 m · 0.03 xG Bologna · Lewis Ferguson · 90' · No goal · 24 m · 0.03 xG Bologna · Tommaso Pobega · 34' · No goal · 23 m · 0.02 xG Lazio · Valentín Castellanos · 52' · No goal · 8 m · 0.02 xG Lazio · Mario Gila · 59' · No goal · 28 m · 0.02 xG Lazio · Matteo Cancellieri · 63' · No goal · 11 m · 0.02 xG Bologna · Juan Miranda · 72' · No goal · 21 m · 0.02 xG Lazio · Toma Bašić · 74' · No goal · 23 m · 0.02 xG Lazio · Nuno Tavares · 12' · No goal · 16 m · 0.01 xG Bologna · Jens Odgaard · 21' · No goal · 32 m · 0.01 xG Bologna · Jens Odgaard · 71' · No goal · 19 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

29 shots · 2.42 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Lazio
  • Bologna
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Lazio

0.86 xG created 1.32 xGA

  • W 0.78 created, 1.49 conceded against Juventus
  • D 0.48 created, 0.93 conceded against Pisa
  • W 0.69 created, 1.51 conceded against Cagliari
  • L 0.63 created, 1.91 conceded against Inter
  • W 1.89 created, 0.62 conceded against Lecce
  • L 0.68 created, 1.47 conceded against Milan
Bologna

1.59 xG created 1.43 xGA

  • D 0.55 created, 3.72 conceded against Fiorentina
  • D 0.43 created, 0.54 conceded against Torino
  • W 2.72 created, 0.51 conceded against Parma
  • W 0.92 created, 0.24 conceded against Napoli
  • W 2.22 created, 1.46 conceded against Udinese
  • L 2.72 created, 2.13 conceded against Cremonese

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.