Parma 0:2 Udinese: xG & match report · Serie A

Saturday, 29/11/2025 at 15:00

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Match report · Serie A

Parma Home 0.96 xG · 17 shots

Udinese Away 1.74 xG · 14 shots

02 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

11' Nicolò Zaniolo Udinese · 0.12 xG chance 0–1
65' Keinan Davis (pen.) Udinese · 0.82 xG chance 0–2

The shots behind it

Parma Udinese

Shots: 17; 14
On target: 2; 5
Inside the box: 8; 10
xG per shot: 0.05; 0.12
Open play xG: 0.69; 0.60
Set-piece xG: 0.23; 0.21
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.96 for Parma and 0.80 for Udinese.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

31 shots · 2.55 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Parma
Udinese
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Parma

0.94 xG created 1.49 xGA

D 0.05 created, 2.20 conceded against Genoa
D 0.57 created, 0.43 conceded against Como
L 1.21 created, 1.01 conceded against Roma
L 0.51 created, 2.72 conceded against Bologna
D 1.88 created, 1.95 conceded against Milan
W 1.44 created, 0.63 conceded against Hellas Verona

Udinese

0.87 xG created 1.46 xGA

D 0.55 created, 1.07 conceded against Cremonese
W 1.03 created, 0.38 conceded against Lecce
L 0.54 created, 3.17 conceded against Juventus
W 0.53 created, 0.37 conceded against Atalanta
L 1.08 created, 1.53 conceded against Roma
L 1.46 created, 2.22 conceded against Bologna

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.