Bologna 0:1 Parma: xG & match report · Serie A

Sunday, 08/02/2026 at 12:30

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Bologna Home 1.22 xG · 16 shots

Parma Away 0.18 xG · 5 shots

01 The result went against the chances

Goals

90' Christian Ordoñez Parma · 0.03 xG chance 0–1

The shots behind it

Bologna Parma

Shots: 16; 5
On target: 2; 1
Inside the box: 10; 0
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.04
Open play xG: 1.02; 0.12
Set-piece xG: 0.22; 0.06
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.22 for Bologna.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

21 shots · 1.42 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Bologna
Parma
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Bologna

0.88 xG created 1.39 xGA

L 1.10 created, 1.38 conceded against Atalanta
D 1.15 created, 0.84 conceded against Como
W 0.79 created, 1.20 conceded against Hellas Verona
L 1.31 created, 1.73 conceded against Fiorentina
L 0.50 created, 0.54 conceded against Genoa
L 0.45 created, 2.62 conceded against Milan

Parma

0.65 xG created 2.32 xGA

L 0.33 created, 2.57 conceded against Inter
W 1.04 created, 0.85 conceded against Lecce
D 0.18 created, 1.37 conceded against Napoli
D 0.41 created, 1.04 conceded against Genoa
L 1.38 created, 4.07 conceded against Atalanta
L 0.55 created, 4.03 conceded against Juventus

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Bologna: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Parma 1:3 Bologna 02/11/2025 xG 0.51 – 2.72

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.