Bologna 1:2 Fiorentina: xG & match report · Serie A

Sunday, 18/01/2026 at 15:00

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Bologna Home 1.31 xG · 18 shots

Fiorentina Away 1.73 xG · 11 shots

12 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

19' Rolando Mandragora Fiorentina · 0.40 xG chance 0–1
45' Roberto Piccoli Fiorentina · 0.71 xG chance 0–2
88' Giovanni Fabbian Bologna · 0.16 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Bologna Fiorentina

Shots: 18; 11
On target: 3; 4
Inside the box: 13; 9
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.16
Open play xG: 0.86; 1.72
Set-piece xG: 0.47; 0.04
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.32 for Bologna and 1.73 for Fiorentina.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

29 shots · 3.09 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Bologna
Fiorentina
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Bologna

0.89 xG created 1.61 xGA

L 0.55 created, 1.68 conceded against Juventus
D 0.88 created, 1.62 conceded against Sassuolo
L 0.85 created, 2.93 conceded against Inter
L 1.10 created, 1.38 conceded against Atalanta
D 1.15 created, 0.84 conceded against Como
W 0.79 created, 1.20 conceded against Hellas Verona

Fiorentina

1.96 xG created 1.32 xGA

L 1.71 created, 0.94 conceded against Hellas Verona
W 3.20 created, 0.64 conceded against Udinese
L 1.23 created, 0.95 conceded against Parma
W 2.06 created, 0.73 conceded against Cremonese
D 1.64 created, 2.74 conceded against Lazio
D 1.90 created, 1.93 conceded against Milan

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Bologna: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Fiorentina 2:2 Bologna 26/10/2025 xG 3.72 – 0.55

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.