Lazio 2:2 Fiorentina: xG & match report · Serie A

Wednesday, 07/01/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Lazio Home 2.74 xG · 17 shots

Fiorentina Away 1.64 xG · 8 shots

22 Lazio had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

52' Danilo Cataldi Lazio · 0.53 xG chance 1–0
56' Robin Gosens Fiorentina · 0.44 xG chance 1–1
89' Albert Guðmundsson (pen.) Fiorentina · 0.82 xG chance 1–2
90' Pedro (pen.) Lazio · 0.82 xG chance 2–2

The shots behind it

Lazio Fiorentina

Shots: 17; 8
On target: 9; 5
Inside the box: 12; 6
xG per shot: 0.17; 0.21
Open play xG: 0.83; 0.67
Set-piece xG: 1.24; 0.17
Penalties: 1; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.07 for Lazio and 0.86 for Fiorentina.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

25 shots · 4.55 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Lazio
Fiorentina
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Lazio

0.76 xG created 1.18 xGA

L 0.68 created, 1.47 conceded against Milan
D 1.21 created, 1.11 conceded against Bologna
W 1.35 created, 1.08 conceded against Parma
D 0.41 created, 0.69 conceded against Cremonese
D 0.54 created, 0.87 conceded against Udinese
L 0.36 created, 1.86 conceded against Napoli

Fiorentina

1.83 xG created 0.98 xGA

L 1.58 created, 1.60 conceded against Atalanta
L 1.21 created, 1.00 conceded against Sassuolo
L 1.71 created, 0.94 conceded against Hellas Verona
W 3.20 created, 0.64 conceded against Udinese
L 1.23 created, 0.95 conceded against Parma
W 2.06 created, 0.73 conceded against Cremonese

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.