Inter 3:1 Bologna: xG & match report · Serie A

Sunday, 04/01/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Inter Home 2.93 xG · 19 shots

Bologna Away 0.85 xG · 6 shots

31 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

39' Piotr Zieliński Inter · 0.10 xG chance 1–0
48' Lautaro Martínez Inter · 0.17 xG chance 2–0
74' Marcus Thuram Inter · 0.41 xG chance 3–0
83' Santiago Castro Bologna · 0.79 xG chance 3–1

The shots behind it

Inter Bologna

Shots: 19; 6
On target: 10; 2
Inside the box: 15; 4
xG per shot: 0.16; 0.17
Open play xG: 1.83; 0.19
Set-piece xG: 1.21; 0.80
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 3.04 for Inter and 0.97 for Bologna.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

25 shots · 4.03 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Inter
Bologna
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Inter

1.61 xG created 0.91 xGA

W 1.91 created, 0.63 conceded against Lazio
L 1.92 created, 1.01 conceded against Milan
W 2.00 created, 1.03 conceded against Pisa
W 1.42 created, 1.02 conceded against Como
W 1.27 created, 0.97 conceded against Genoa
W 1.16 created, 0.78 conceded against Atalanta

Bologna

1.40 xG created 1.39 xGA

W 0.92 created, 0.24 conceded against Napoli
W 2.22 created, 1.46 conceded against Udinese
L 2.72 created, 2.13 conceded against Cremonese
D 1.11 created, 1.21 conceded against Lazio
L 0.55 created, 1.68 conceded against Juventus
D 0.88 created, 1.62 conceded against Sassuolo

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.