Parma 1:1 Cagliari: xG & match report · Serie A

Friday, 27/02/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Parma Home 1.28 xG · 18 shots

Cagliari Away 0.52 xG · 11 shots

11 Parma had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

62' Michael Folorunsho Cagliari · 0.02 xG chance 0–1
83' Gaetano Oristanio Parma · 0.20 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Parma Cagliari

Shots: 18; 11
On target: 4; 5
Inside the box: 10; 6
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.05
Open play xG: 0.39; 0.55
Set-piece xG: 0.86; 0.00
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.28 for Parma and 0.53 for Cagliari.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

29 shots · 1.80 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Parma
Cagliari
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Parma

0.78 xG created 2.10 xGA

D 0.41 created, 1.04 conceded against Genoa
L 1.38 created, 4.07 conceded against Atalanta
L 0.55 created, 4.03 conceded against Juventus
W 0.18 created, 1.22 conceded against Bologna
W 1.71 created, 0.91 conceded against Hellas Verona
W 0.46 created, 1.33 conceded against Milan

Cagliari

0.82 xG created 1.22 xGA

W 0.11 created, 1.35 conceded against Juventus
W 1.08 created, 2.15 conceded against Fiorentina
W 1.68 created, 0.46 conceded against Hellas Verona
L 0.35 created, 1.33 conceded against Roma
L 1.01 created, 1.35 conceded against Lecce
D 0.67 created, 0.69 conceded against Lazio

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Parma: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Cagliari 2:0 Parma 13/09/2025 xG 1.13 – 1.96

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.